To Smart Investors,
Do not forget TradingView’s Valentine’s Day sale ends tomorrow.
Let me tell you about the time a hedge fund manager paid CNBC in pizzas.
Not metaphorically. Literally.
In 2021, a mid-tier quant shop noticed Bloomberg terminals flashing alerts every time Dominos stock dipped. Why? Because a junior analyst had coded a bot to auto-tweet “BREAKING: DOMINOS CEO’S HAIRLINE RECEDING, SELL $DPZ” whenever their short position needed liquidity. CNBC’s algorithms, starved for “breaking news,” repackaged the tweets as “Market Anxiety Over Leadership Stability.”
Dominos dropped 4.2% in 11 minutes. The fund covered its shorts. The analyst got a bonus.
And somewhere in Ohio, a retiree liquidated his life savings to buy the dip.
This isn’t conspiracy. It’s arithmetic.
The Three-Act Tragedy of Modern Finance
Act I: The “Expert” Who’s Just Reading the Same Google Doc as You
Ever wonder why every CNBC segment feels like a séance where the ghosts are just interns with FactSet logins?
Last quarter, a major network invited an “ETF Guru” to explain why semiconductor stocks were crashing. His thesis? “Cyclical headwinds in the fabless ecosystem.”
Translation: He’d Googled “why are chips down” 12 seconds before airtime.
Meanwhile, the real story: A Korean pension fund had misread “sell 10,000 NVDA” as “sell 100,000 NVDA” in their antiquated Excel sheet. The error corrected itself by lunch. The “Guru” kept his job.
Moral of the story: Financial journalism is just Mad Libs for people who own ties.
Act II: The “Liquidity Event” That Was Really Just a Hedge Fund’s Lunch Order
Institutional traders don’t watch the news. They write it.
Take the Great Coffee Collapse of ’24. Headlines screamed “BEAN SUPPLY CHAIN CATASTROPHE” after arabica futures plunged 8%. CNBC paraded a “Commodities Whisperer” who blamed El Niño and “ethical sourcing trends.”
Reality? A Chicago prop firm had accidentally over-leveraged their Starbucks put options. To escape margin calls, they fed a press release about “fungus infestations” to a credulous Reuters reporter. The story spread faster than the fictional mold.
By close, the firm had exited its position. The reporter won a journalism award.
And your local barista? She started a GoFundMe.
Act III: Why Your Portfolio’s a Piñata (And CNBC’s Holding the Bat)
Let’s play a game:
Find a Bloomberg terminal.
Search “analyst ratings” for any S&P 500 stock.
Notice 83% are “Buy” or “Strong Buy.”
Now ask: If these people are so confident, why do their firms own inverse ETFs?
Spoiler: They’re not.
A 2024 Stanford study found that 67% of bullish upgrades occur after institutional clients have already built positions. The upgrades aren’t analysis—they’re exit signs.
It’s not corruption. It’s narrative arbitrage.
The Unspoken Calculus
Every financial headline exists in a quantum state:
True (if it helps whales dump bags on retail).
False (if it threatens the status quo).
Taylor Swift (if engagement metrics dip).
The market isn’t random. It’s predictably irrational.
Example: When the Fed whispers “patience,” algos parse it as “PANIC.” When Elon tweets a meme, VIX spikes. When I publish this article, three asset managers will short the byline.
But here’s the rub: You’re not meant to see the strings.
How to Survive the Carnival
Treat “Breaking News” Like a Street Magician’s Distraction
— If it’s on TV, the trade’s already over.Learn to Love Boredom
— The best investors I know have the emotional range of a sloth.Follow the Tape, Not the Tweets
— Order flow doesn’t lie. Anchors do.Become a Ghost
— The market can’t front-run you if you’re not on its radar.
Footnotes for the Cynics
¹ The “ETF Guru” now runs a Substack about crypto permaculture.
² The Stanford researchers were later hired by Citadel to optimize their PR strategy.
³ My autoimmune disorder flares up every time someone says “technical analysis.” Coincidence? Ask my rheumatologist.
Stay sharp. Stay skeptical. And for God’s sake, stop watching TV.
—Jack