🩻 Lesson 6: The 10 Tickers That Predict SPY
Where The Market Will Go Next—We Found Out After Weeks of Backtesting
To Smart Investors,
Markets are paranoid schizophrenics.
They see patterns in chaos and hear whispers in static.
But sometimes—just sometimes—the ghosts in the machine hum a tune you can dance to.
Below are 10 tickers that hum louder than most.
Step 1: Use my Macro Paradox indicator.
Click here to get it + explanations. (free)
Step 2: Monitor the Top 10 Tickers that are Broad Market Predictors
10. Bitcoin ($BTCUSD) – 6.5/10
Let’s start with the meth-addicted cousin of finance. Bitcoin doesn’t predict anything. It screams into the void, and sometimes the void screams back. When $BTCUSD rips higher, it’s not because investors love blockchain. It’s because someone, somewhere, decided fear is a relic and YOLO is a strategy.
When it craters, it’s because everyone remembered that "digital gold" is just a spreadsheet run by anarchists. But here’s the thing: its 24/7 tantrums often bleed into SPY’s opening bell. Like a canary on Red Bull, it’s wrong until it’s right.
9. Russell 2000 ($IWM) – 7/10
Small caps are the kids at the grown-ups' table. When $IWM rallies, it’s because the market believes in fairy tales: “The economy is strong! Main Street is thriving!”
When it limps, it’s a silent confession that maybe, just maybe, borrowing money at 7% to sell organic dog treats isn’t a sustainable business model. Watch it closely. If small caps can’t breathe, the S&P 500 eventually suffocates.
8. Crude Oil Futures (/CL) – 7.5/10
Oil is the market’s id. A barrel of crude is a Rorschach test:
Bullish spike? “Growth! Inflation! Drill, baby, drill!”
Plunge? “Recession! EVs! We’re all gonna die!”
But here’s the secret: oil doesn’t care about your thesis. It’s a geopolitical mood ring. When /CL jerks wildly, SPY traders start sweating through their Patagonia vests. Because nothing terrifies Wall Street more than an angry sheikh or a bored algo with a tanker fleet.
7. Shanghai Composite ($SSEC) – 8/10
The Chinese market opens while America sleeps. This is a problem. Because when $SSEC coughs—say, because a property developer imploded or someone banned video games—SPY catches the flu 12 hours later.
It’s not that U.S. markets respect China. It’s that they’re terrified of a world where the factory that makes iPhones and antidepressants suddenly goes offline.
6. High-Yield Corporate Bonds ($HYG) – 9/10
I wrote a piece on HYG here.
Junk bonds are where optimism goes to die. HYG 0.00%↑ is the drunk uncle at the wedding—loud, sloppy, and weirdly honest. When investors pile into junk, it’s not because they love risk. It’s because they’re bored.
“Give me 6% yield on a meme-themed casino chain!” they chant. But when $HYG tanks, it’s a silent run on the bank. No one panics… until they do. And SPY? It’s always the last to know.
(The following section contains advanced market hieroglyphics, a metaphor involving caffeinated squirrels, and the ticker that sees the future 87% of the time.)
You made it this far.
The top 5 are behind the curtain, smoking cigars and laughing at the peasants.
Join them.
Or don’t.
But remember: in the casino, the house always wins.
Unless you cheat.
The whales are watching.
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