🩻 Week 4, 2025: My SaaS Alpha Version with Long-Term Plays is Here
I'm bringing out the Big Guns now!
To Smart Investors,
We’re back with fresh, unbiased data for this week's US stock market.
Super Important Stuff!
The final version of the Oracle Indicator was not released this week because we need more time to backtest and polish the algorithms. I don’t want to release an unoptimal product.
Surprise: The Secret SaaS alpha version is here!!!
The link to the SaaS and a list of 61 undervalued stocks, most of which you haven’t heard of, is right below the paywall. The list of stocks will be constantly monitored with a log of stocks dropping out of the list and getting on the list.
It monitors over 3,000 US stocks with over $100M market cap.
The idea is that trading these stocks will MASSIVELY outperform SPY in the long run.
These are long-term plays based on deep backtesting, AI fundamental analysis, and several advanced indicators I have created myself.
The SaaS also includes a fun AI chat functionality that is fine-tuned for discussing finances and includes over a dozen TradingView widgets.
Prices will go up when it’s out of Alpha and only available to paying, logged-in subscribers.
The free weekly Podcast is here:
Stuff I Published Last Week:
As Always In The Sunday Report:
I have written a detailed recap of last week’s market, my predictions for next week, and an ELI5 (Explain Me Like I’m 5).
You can also find my typical quant data and the stock insiders’ significant buys/sells with my interpretation.
Every day, I post summaries of news relevant to Investors. I try to post about 30 minutes before the markets open and cover the last 24 hours of news. On the weekends, I post in the afternoon.
Use the secret code to get my daily news newsletter for just $1/month or $10/year.
I’m slowly working on a new exciting newsletter. Posted another piece last night. [FREE!]
S&P500 Heatmap over the last week
This graph was generated by our friends at TradingView. Did you know you can get 60% off the Premium plan forever, even though it's not Black Friday?
Excel data:
Our friends at TradingView generated these graphs. Did you know you can get 60% off the Premium plan forever, even though it's not Black Friday?
*Also, the chart above shows precisely why you need the Premium TradingView plan in your life. Plus, being able to monitor 8 graphs at the same time while running complex indicators on them in parallel. Look into this:
SPY Technical & Macro Paradox Analysis
Price Action (Last 30 Days)
After a steady advance from the mid‐580s into the 610 region, SPY carved out a rising wedge on both the daily and 4H charts.
Two prominent swing highs (“Top 1” & “Top 2” near 610) suggest a potential double‐top formation.
Macro Paradox Indicator
This proprietary leading indicator historically projects SPY’s directional bias by 4–7 days with ~70–80% accuracy.
Green line rising = bullish bias; Red line rising = bearish bias.
Currently, the green line has flattened and is rolling over, while the red line is trending higher. This crossover hints at a downward shift in momentum.
Key Chart Patterns
Rising Wedge: Typically resolves to the downside, with measured‐move targets often near the wedge’s origin (mid‐550s) or deeper.
Double‐Top: Reinforces the bearish argument; a confirmed break below ~600 could accelerate selling.
Near‐Term Outlook
Bearish Breakdown Likely
If SPY loses wedge support (around 600), expect an initial leg toward 580–570.
A sharper capitulation could test 540 and, in a worst‐case scenario, even dip into the 490 region.
Indicator Confirmation
Should the Macro Paradox green line continue to descend while red climbs, downside pressure could intensify over the next 1–2 weeks.
Bottom Line
Momentum has waned after a strong rally, and two key bearish signals (the rising wedge + Macro Paradox crossover) point to an elevated likelihood of a corrective move.
Watch 600 as the pivotal line in the sand: a decisive close beneath it would validate the bears’ targets.
Remember, technical analysis can only go so far. Major geopolitical events might pump SPY even more.
Disclaimer: This analysis is purely educational and not financial advice. Always consider multiple factors and your own risk tolerance before making trading decisions.
*Macro Paradox is available for free here
Please send feedback and ideas using comments, PMs, or email. I answer all emails and PMs personally. There is no personal assistant BS here.
And, as always — stay informed — and do your own due diligence,
May the LORD Bless You and Your Loved Ones,
Jack Roshi, PhD, MIT, Applied Mathematics
Weekly Market Recap
Executive Summary
Markets rallied strongly during the holiday-shortened week ending January 24, powered by investor optimism over the new administration’s initial policy signals, resilient corporate earnings, and major AI infrastructure announcements. The S&P 500 not only recovered December’s losses but also reached a new all-time high on Thursday. Notably:
No Immediate China Tariffs: President Trump, inaugurated on January 20, refrained from enacting his much-discussed tariffs on Chinese imports during his first few days in office, temporarily easing trade-war tensions.
Earnings Season Surprises: Heavyweights like Netflix, 3M, GE Aerospace, and others exceeded Wall Street’s estimates, boosting sentiment across multiple sectors. Apple and Texas Instruments faced concerns over slower iPhone and chip demand, respectively.
AI Infrastructure Wave: A high-profile venture dubbed “Stargate” emerged, combining the resources of OpenAI, SoftBank, Oracle, and MGX, spurring investor excitement over large-scale data center development.
New S&P 500 Record: Equities capitalized on calmer Treasury yields and strong demand for new deals, with a surprising uptick in consumer spending data despite elevated mortgage rates and consumer anxiety around employment.
Below the Paywall, you will find the link to the SaaS Stocks List and further Weekly Analysis
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